Advance poll turnouts, 2008 vs 2011

Elections Canada today published estimates of the turnout at advance polls held over the Easter weekend. The agency said the numbers are up 34 per cent over 2008 actual numbers. In fact, if you look at the changes between the 2008 estimates and 2011, the increase is sharper — up 41 per cent, or 596,000 extra votes.

I’ve ranked them by percentage change in advance vote between the 2008 estimates (not actual vote totals) and 2011 estimates.

The top of the list, Edmonton Centre, is currently held by Conservative Laurie Hawn, a former fighter pilot and the party’s front-man on the defence of the government’s proposed purchase of F-35 stealth fighter jets.

Other notables in the top of the list: in Ottawa – Orleans, Conservative Royal Galipeau is believed to be in a close fight with a Liberal challenger, as is Liberal Mark Holland in Ajax-Pickering.

I have no idea why Leeds – Grenville, safely held by Conservative Gord Brown, ranks #2 on the list.

(Note: the riding at bottom of the list, Thornhill, saw a larger-than-normal advance turnout in 2008 because election day that  fell on a Jewish holiday. Thornhill has the largest Jewish population of any riding.)

PROVINCE RIDING ELECTORS 2008 ELECTORS 2011 CHANGE %CHANGE
Alberta Edmonton Centre 1,222 7,214 5,992 490
Ontario Leeds–Grenville 2,095 8,808 6,713 320
Ontario Ottawa–Orléans 3,408 13,645 10,237 300
British Columbia West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country 2,800 9,754 6,954 248
Ontario Oak Ridges–Markham 4,844 15,003 10,159 210
Ontario Ajax–Pickering 2,770 8,313 5,543 200
British Columbia Esquimalt–Juan de Fuca 3,507 10,097 6,590 188
Alberta Peace River 1,527 3,952 2,425 159
Ontario Halton 4,931 12,710 7,779 158
British Columbia Vancouver South 2,962 7,623 4,661 157
Saskatchewan Regina–Qu’Appelle 864 2,221 1,357 157
British Columbia British Columbia Southern Interior 1,622 4,142 2,520 155
Quebec Jeanne-Le Ber 3,296 8,410 5,114 155
Newfoundland and Labrador Labrador 398 982 584 147
Alberta Yellowhead 1,976 4,870 2,894 146
Quebec Verchères–Les Patriotes 3,669 8,985 5,316 145
Manitoba Winnipeg North 1,480 3,527 2,047 138
Ontario Vaughan 3,208 7,600 4,392 137
Ontario Hamilton East–Stoney Creek 4,723 11,166 6,443 136
Quebec Outremont 2,232 5,240 3,008 135
Ontario Bramalea–Gore–Malton 4,676 10,843 6,167 132
Nova Scotia Cumberland–Colchester–Musquodoboit Valley 3,725 8,634 4,909 132
British Columbia Prince George–Peace River 2,212 4,962 2,750 124
Manitoba Winnipeg South 3,388 7,307 3,919 116
Newfoundland and Labrador St. John’s South–Mount Pearl 1,727 3,697 1,970 114
British Columbia Nanaimo–Cowichan 4,284 9,048 4,764 111
Alberta Wetaskiwin 2,299 4,850 2,551 111
New Brunswick Saint John 2,877 5,778 2,901 101
Nova Scotia Halifax 3,575 7,048 3,473 97
Ontario Brampton West 5,053 9,775 4,722 93
British Columbia Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo 3,381 6,505 3,124 92
Ontario Davenport 2,287 4,369 2,082 91
Ontario Huron–Bruce 4,109 7,824 3,715 90
Nova Scotia Halifax West 3,930 7,447 3,517 89
Ontario Mississauga–Erindale 6,874 12,810 5,936 86
Ontario Markham–Unionville 4,072 7,351 3,279 81
Nova Scotia Sydney–Victoria 3,820 6,864 3,044 80
British Columbia Vancouver Kingsway 3,217 5,768 2,551 79
Manitoba Winnipeg South Centre 3,445 6,136 2,691 78
Nova Scotia Dartmouth–Cole Harbour 4,099 7,155 3,056 75
Ontario Simcoe–Grey 8,591 14,977 6,386 74
Ontario Brampton–Springdale 5,496 9,551 4,055 74
Alberta Calgary Northeast 3,541 6,136 2,595 73
Nova Scotia Kings–Hants 3,025 5,233 2,208 73
British Columbia Abbotsford 3,315 5,713 2,398 72
Nova Scotia Sackville–Eastern Shore 3,359 5,780 2,421 72
Alberta Calgary–Nose Hill 4,580 7,872 3,292 72
Newfoundland and Labrador Avalon 1,707 2,922 1,215 71
Ontario Mississauga–Brampton South 5,533 9,466 3,933 71
Alberta Edmonton–Sherwood Park 3,753 6,323 2,570 68
Ontario Lambton–Kent–Middlesex 5,147 8,631 3,484 68
Manitoba Saint Boniface 3,435 5,749 2,314 67
Ontario Kitchener Centre 4,067 6,769 2,702 66
Ontario Mississauga–Streetsville 4,885 8,119 3,234 66
Ontario Toronto–Danforth 4,197 6,949 2,752 66
Ontario Mississauga East–Cooksville 3,802 6,263 2,461 65
Ontario Nepean–Carleton 10,337 16,988 6,651 64
Ontario Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke 5,717 9,246 3,529 62
Newfoundland and Labrador St. John’s East 2,784 4,474 1,690 61
British Columbia Fleetwood–Port Kells 4,868 7,808 2,940 60
British Columbia Vancouver Centre 6,065 9,679 3,614 60
Ontario Kingston and the Islands 8,214 13,102 4,888 60
Nova Scotia South Shore–St. Margaret’s 2,774 4,424 1,650 59
Manitoba Selkirk–Interlake 2,822 4,493 1,671 59
Alberta Calgary Centre 4,084 6,483 2,399 59
Ontario Barrie 7,853 12,446 4,593 58
British Columbia New Westminster–Coquitlam 4,435 7,024 2,589 58
Ontario Kitchener–Waterloo 5,811 9,100 3,289 57
Ontario Dufferin–Caledon 5,124 7,996 2,872 56
Newfoundland and Labrador Humber–St. Barbe–Baie Verte 1,090 1,697 607 56
British Columbia Richmond 3,717 5,784 2,067 56
Ontario Mississauga South 5,372 8,332 2,960 55
Manitoba Elmwood–Transcona 2,626 4,068 1,442 55
Ontario Etobicoke North 2,864 4,401 1,537 54
Ontario Kitchener–Conestoga 4,449 6,802 2,353 53
Saskatchewan Saskatoon–Rosetown–Biggar 2,556 3,904 1,348 53
Ontario Beaches–East York 4,355 6,644 2,289 53
British Columbia Burnaby–New Westminster 4,038 6,153 2,115 52
British Columbia Vancouver East 3,342 5,087 1,745 52
Manitoba Churchill 1,184 1,800 616 52
Ontario Richmond Hill 4,900 7,446 2,546 52
British Columbia South Surrey–White Rock–Cloverdale 5,033 7,635 2,602 52
Ontario Durham 5,362 8,133 2,771 52
Ontario Oshawa 4,449 6,714 2,265 51
Quebec Chambly–Borduas 7,300 10,997 3,697 51
British Columbia Saanich–Gulf Islands 7,537 11,330 3,793 50
Alberta Calgary West 6,035 9,065 3,030 50
British Columbia Nanaimo–Alberni 6,446 9,644 3,198 50
British Columbia North Vancouver 5,543 8,287 2,744 50
New Brunswick Fundy Royal 4,327 6,457 2,130 49
Quebec Gatineau 6,713 10,013 3,300 49
Quebec Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie 5,390 8,022 2,632 49
Prince Edward Island Cardigan 2,478 3,685 1,207 49
Saskatchewan Desnethé–Missinippi–Churchill River 1,138 1,686 548 48
Alberta Calgary Southwest 4,102 6,073 1,971 48
New Brunswick New Brunswick Southwest 3,413 5,050 1,637 48
Ontario Cambridge 5,429 8,027 2,598 48
Quebec Alfred-Pellan 5,431 8,024 2,593 48
Ontario Ottawa Centre 8,180 12,054 3,874 47
Ontario Peterborough 7,457 10,979 3,522 47
Ontario York–Simcoe 5,779 8,505 2,726 47
Saskatchewan Saskatoon–Wanuskewin 3,477 5,109 1,632 47
Ontario Eglinton–Lawrence 5,166 7,577 2,411 47
Alberta Edmonton–Mill Woods–Beaumont 3,221 4,724 1,503 47
Ontario Niagara Falls 5,519 8,071 2,552 46
Ontario Scarborough–Agincourt 3,506 5,127 1,621 46
New Brunswick Miramichi 3,538 5,172 1,634 46
British Columbia Delta–Richmond East 3,641 5,314 1,673 46
Ontario Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock 6,870 10,011 3,141 46
Quebec Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska– 3,913 5,690 1,777 45
Ontario Niagara West–Glanbrook 5,952 8,651 2,699 45
New Brunswick Fredericton 5,848 8,493 2,645 45
Quebec Beauce 5,493 7,946 2,453 45
Newfoundland and Labrador Bonavista–Gander–Grand Falls–Windsor 1,500 2,168 668 45
British Columbia Kelowna–Lake Country 5,560 8,026 2,466 44
Quebec Joliette 6,639 9,570 2,931 44
Ontario Ancaster–Dundas–Flamborough–Westdale 7,473 10,746 3,273 44
Nova Scotia Central Nova 3,345 4,810 1,465 44
Nova Scotia Cape Breton–Canso 2,542 3,646 1,104 43
Ontario Don Valley East 3,489 4,999 1,510 43
Alberta Edmonton–St. Albert 4,853 6,952 2,099 43
Quebec Montcalm 5,820 8,321 2,501 43
New Brunswick Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe 6,492 9,245 2,753 42
Ontario Wellington–Halton Hills 6,025 8,578 2,553 42
Nova Scotia West Nova 3,521 5,012 1,491 42
Alberta Edmonton–Strathcona 4,185 5,955 1,770 42
British Columbia Burnaby–Douglas 3,723 5,291 1,568 42
New Brunswick Acadie–Bathurst 6,144 8,721 2,577 42
Alberta Westlock–St. Paul 2,859 4,057 1,198 42
British Columbia Cariboo–Prince George 3,529 4,986 1,457 41
Ontario Don Valley West 6,039 8,511 2,472 41
Ontario Perth–Wellington 4,690 6,603 1,913 41
Ontario Toronto Centre 5,318 7,481 2,163 41
Quebec Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques 3,773 5,307 1,534 41
Ontario Scarborough Centre 2,985 4,194 1,209 41
Quebec Haute-Gaspésie–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia 4,295 6,034 1,739 40
British Columbia Victoria 7,028 9,865 2,837 40
Quebec Saint-Laurent–Cartierville 4,004 5,617 1,613 40
British Columbia Kootenay–Columbia 5,168 7,237 2,069 40
Ontario Pickering–Scarborough East 4,654 6,494 1,840 40
Ontario Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry 7,098 9,890 2,792 39
Quebec Westmount–Ville-Marie 5,362 7,463 2,101 39
Manitoba Provencher 2,262 3,148 886 39
Alberta Medicine Hat 2,913 4,043 1,130 39
Alberta Edmonton–Spruce Grove 4,686 6,502 1,816 39
Ontario Burlington 6,516 9,037 2,521 39
Quebec Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier 6,507 9,018 2,511 39
Ontario Trinity–Spadina 5,335 7,383 2,048 38
Quebec Hull–Aylmer 6,589 9,107 2,518 38
Alberta Calgary Southeast 4,877 6,732 1,855 38
Ontario Oakville 6,200 8,553 2,353 38
Ontario Scarborough Southwest 2,989 4,117 1,128 38
Quebec Louis-Saint-Laurent 8,274 11,393 3,119 38
Ontario York South–Weston 2,046 2,817 771 38
Ontario Whitby–Oshawa 5,919 8,147 2,228 38
Newfoundland and Labrador Random–Burin–St. George’s 972 1,337 365 38
Quebec Chicoutimi–Le Fjord 4,028 5,537 1,509 37
Manitoba Kildonan–St. Paul 3,443 4,731 1,288 37
Ontario Ottawa–Vanier 6,184 8,494 2,310 37
Quebec Saint-Lambert 6,372 8,743 2,371 37
Quebec Laurier–Sainte-Marie 4,715 6,457 1,742 37
Ontario Simcoe North 6,914 9,455 2,541 37
Ontario Guelph 6,576 8,975 2,399 36
Quebec Brome–Missisquoi 7,336 10,008 2,672 36
Quebec Lotbinière–Chutes-de-la-Chaudière 6,729 9,114 2,385 35
Quebec Longueuil–Pierre-Boucher 6,844 9,261 2,417 35
Quebec Sherbrooke 6,445 8,710 2,265 35
British Columbia Langley 3,769 5,082 1,313 35
New Brunswick Tobique–Mactaquac 4,348 5,857 1,509 35
Ontario Windsor–Tecumseh 4,351 5,861 1,510 35
Alberta Calgary East 2,021 2,719 698 35
British Columbia Okanagan–Coquihalla 6,018 8,095 2,077 35
Prince Edward Island Egmont 2,847 3,828 981 34
New Brunswick Beauséjour 6,851 9,191 2,340 34
Ontario Scarborough–Guildwood 3,513 4,707 1,194 34
Prince Edward Island Malpeque 2,406 3,214 808 34
Ontario Glengarry–Prescott–Russell 7,311 9,766 2,455 34
British Columbia Skeena–Bulkley Valley 3,386 4,508 1,122 33
Alberta Calgary Centre-North 4,227 5,627 1,400 33
Ontario London–Fanshawe 3,383 4,502 1,119 33
Quebec LaSalle–Émard 4,613 6,131 1,518 33
Ontario Newmarket–Aurora 5,718 7,599 1,881 33
Ontario York West 1,815 2,410 595 33
British Columbia Port Moody–Westwood–Port Coquitlam 2,627 3,484 857 33
Quebec Lac-Saint-Louis 6,160 8,164 2,004 33
Quebec Marc-Aurèle-Fortin 6,305 8,354 2,049 32
Manitoba Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia 3,508 4,646 1,138 32
Ontario Oxford 4,499 5,955 1,456 32
Quebec Drummond 4,278 5,650 1,372 32
Ontario Etobicoke Centre 5,341 7,053 1,712 32
British Columbia Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge–Mission 4,732 6,247 1,515 32
Alberta Fort McMurray–Athabasca 2,558 3,375 817 32
Alberta Edmonton East 3,247 4,284 1,037 32
Alberta Macleod 4,578 6,037 1,459 32
Quebec La Pointe-de-l’Île 4,653 6,135 1,482 32
Quebec Shefford 5,402 7,104 1,702 32
Ontario Welland 5,901 7,730 1,829 31
Manitoba Brandon–Souris 2,075 2,713 638 31
Ontario Elgin–Middlesex–London 5,323 6,952 1,629 31
Quebec Lévis–Bellechasse 7,010 9,136 2,126 30
Ontario Windsor West 3,690 4,805 1,115 30
Quebec Montmorency–Charlevoix–Haute-Côte-Nord 6,322 8,210 1,888 30
Manitoba Dauphin–Swan River–Marquette 2,162 2,803 641 30
Ontario Lanark–Frontenac–Lennox and Addington 8,717 11,278 2,561 29
Alberta Edmonton–Leduc 5,465 7,067 1,602 29
Ontario Ottawa South 8,106 10,469 2,363 29
Ontario St. Paul’s 6,676 8,607 1,931 29
British Columbia Okanagan–Shuswap 6,414 8,265 1,851 29
Saskatchewan Wascana 3,119 4,008 889 29
Quebec Berthier–Maskinongé 7,187 9,231 2,044 28
Quebec Rivière-des-Mille-Îles 5,764 7,396 1,632 28
Quebec Roberval–Lac-Saint-Jean 4,501 5,754 1,253 28
Quebec Pontiac 6,334 8,091 1,757 28
Quebec Saint-Bruno–Saint-Hubert 7,523 9,604 2,081 28
Quebec Mégantic–L’Érable 5,224 6,668 1,444 28
Ontario Hamilton Mountain 4,980 6,342 1,362 27
Ontario London North Centre 4,964 6,308 1,344 27
Quebec Honoré-Mercier 5,438 6,879 1,441 26
Manitoba Winnipeg Centre 1,486 1,879 393 26
British Columbia Vancouver Quadra 6,621 8,371 1,750 26
Ontario Chatham-Kent–Essex 4,800 6,065 1,265 26
Ontario Haldimand–Norfolk 6,432 8,127 1,695 26
Quebec Richmond–Arthabaska 5,738 7,221 1,483 26
Quebec Beauharnois–Salaberry 7,426 9,333 1,907 26
Manitoba Portage–Lisgar 2,291 2,871 580 25
British Columbia Newton–North Delta 4,618 5,781 1,163 25
Quebec Repentigny 6,309 7,888 1,579 25
Ontario Willowdale 4,700 5,875 1,175 25
Quebec Compton–Stanstead 7,282 9,055 1,773 24
Quebec Saint-Jean 6,121 7,608 1,487 24
Ontario Scarborough–Rouge River 3,561 4,420 859 24
Quebec Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot 4,515 5,603 1,088 24
Quebec Rivière-du-Nord 6,591 8,157 1,566 24
Quebec Hochelaga 4,259 5,267 1,008 24
Quebec Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel 2,584 3,179 595 23
Quebec Vaudreuil-Soulanges 8,512 10,418 1,906 22
Ontario Sudbury 5,362 6,549 1,187 22
Saskatchewan Palliser 3,070 3,749 679 22
Ontario St. Catharines 5,173 6,312 1,139 22
Quebec Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Lachine 5,479 6,670 1,191 22
Ontario Ottawa West–Nepean 7,658 9,316 1,658 22
Quebec Ahuntsic 5,123 6,207 1,084 21
Ontario Brant 5,448 6,583 1,135 21
Quebec Québec 8,088 9,733 1,645 20
Quebec Châteauguay–Saint-Constant 6,772 8,149 1,377 20
Quebec Bas-Richelieu–Nicolet–Bécancour 5,493 6,603 1,110 20
Alberta Lethbridge 4,426 5,306 880 20
Quebec Argenteuil–Papineau–Mirabel 6,196 7,420 1,224 20
Quebec Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles 8,107 9,617 1,510 19
Quebec Terrebonne–Blainville 4,870 5,760 890 18
Ontario Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound 7,431 8,718 1,287 17
Quebec Brossard–La Prairie 8,338 9,781 1,443 17
Saskatchewan Battlefords–Lloydminster 2,144 2,508 364 17
Ontario Essex 6,399 7,479 1,080 17
Quebec Jonquière–Alma 4,322 5,031 709 16
Ontario Northumberland–Quinte West 7,667 8,913 1,246 16
Quebec Beauport–Limoilou 8,400 9,761 1,361 16
Ontario Nickel Belt 6,537 7,573 1,036 16
Quebec Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou 2,714 3,144 430 16
Saskatchewan Regina–Lumsden–Lake Centre 2,464 2,854 390 16
Saskatchewan Prince Albert 2,885 3,338 453 16
Quebec Papineau 5,076 5,869 793 16
Quebec Pierrefonds–Dollard 5,555 6,422 867 16
Quebec Laurentides–Labelle 8,592 9,901 1,309 15
Northwest Territories Western Arctic 1,118 1,288 170 15
Ontario London West 7,075 8,148 1,073 15
Quebec Saint-Maurice–Champlain 7,169 8,225 1,056 15
Quebec Abitibi–Témiscamingue 2,884 3,300 416 14
Quebec Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine 4,035 4,593 558 14
Quebec Bourassa 3,872 4,398 526 14
Quebec Louis-Hébert 11,239 12,686 1,447 13
Quebec Laval 6,195 6,991 796 13
Saskatchewan Yorkton–Melville 2,895 3,231 336 12
Quebec Manicouagan 3,371 3,761 390 12
Quebec Laval–Les Îles 6,615 7,342 727 11
Ontario Kenora 2,589 2,865 276 11
Ontario Sarnia–Lambton 5,637 6,230 593 11
Ontario Parry Sound–Muskoka 7,681 8,473 792 10
Saskatchewan Souris–Moose Mountain 1,883 2,074 191 10
New Brunswick Madawaska–Restigouche 5,846 6,397 551 9
Ontario Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing 4,461 4,820 359 8
Saskatchewan Cypress Hills–Grasslands 2,196 2,345 149 7
Ontario Etobicoke–Lakeshore 5,930 6,313 383 6
Yukon Yukon 1,492 1,560 68 5
Ontario Prince Edward–Hastings 8,380 8,729 349 4
Quebec Trois-Rivières 8,700 9,057 357 4
Ontario York Centre 5,010 5,153 143 3
Ontario Parkdale–High Park 4,191 4,288 97 2
Ontario Timmins–James Bay 5,596 5,680 84 2
Ontario Thunder Bay–Rainy River 4,798 4,846 48 1
Saskatchewan Blackstrap 4,944 4,968 24 0
Ontario Hamilton Centre 3,357 3,295 -62 -2
Ontario Thunder Bay–Superior North 4,822 4,639 -183 -4
Alberta Wild Rose 5,207 4,969 -238 -5
Prince Edward Island Charlottetown 2,671 2,481 -190 -7
Ontario Nipissing–Timiskaming 6,834 6,316 -518 -8
British Columbia Surrey North 2,256 2,073 -183 -8
Ontario Sault Ste. Marie 3,972 3,585 -387 -10
Ontario Carleton–Mississippi Mills 10,493 9,388 -1,105 -11
British Columbia Chilliwack–Fraser Canyon 4,497 3,808 -689 -15
Alberta Crowfoot 4,041 3,420 -621 -15
Quebec Mount Royal 7,466 6,253 -1,213 -16
Alberta Red Deer 3,355 2,611 -744 -22
Nunavut Nunavut 209 158 -51 -24
Alberta Vegreville–Wainwright 3,047 2,189 -858 -28
British Columbia Vancouver Island North 6,802 4,771 -2,031 -30
Saskatchewan Saskatoon–Humboldt 4,119 2,784 -1,335 -32
Ontario Thornhill 9,440 6,085 -3,355 -36

Candidates for Election 41: What’s in name?

The only candidate named Trifon. Haitas runs for the Greens in Oak Ridges - Markham.

Of confirmed candidates in Election 41, here are the most common first names. The overwhelming majority are Biblical, of course. And, yes, there are no women’s names in the Top 20 (although Claude is technically gender-neutral).

John 34
David 26
Pierre 21
Mike 18
Mark 17
Peter 17
Robert 17
Andrew 16
Paul 16
Jim 14
Michael 14
Brian 12
Bob 10
Claude 10
François 10
Joe 10
Kevin 10
Matthew 10
Richard 10
Scott 10

And the one-offs:

abraham 1
Adrian 1
Adriana 1
Adriane 1
Adrianne 1
Agop 1
Aijaz 1
Akil 1
Alberteen 1
Alexandra 1
Alexandre 1
Alexandrine 1
Alicia 1
Alishia 1
Alon 1
Alonzo 1
Alyssa 1
Ana 1
Anastasia 1
Andrea 1
Angelo 1
Ann 1
AnnaMaria 1
Annick 1
Annie 1
Antoni 1
Ard 1
Artem 1
Attila 1
Avtaar 1
Bahman 1
Baird 1
Bal 1
Barbara 1
Benjamin 1
Berend 1
Bertin 1
Betsy 1
Betty 1
Billy 1
Blaine 1
Blaize 1
Blake 1
Bobbi 1
Borys 1
Brennan 1
Bruno 1
Bryon 1
Byron 1
Cailin 1
Caitlin 1
Cam 1
Cameron 1
Candice 1
Carey 1
Carmen 1
Caroline 1
Carolyn 1
Carrie 1
Cecil 1
Chang-Tao 1
Charles-Olivier 1
Charmaine 1
Chester 1
Christa 1
Christelle 1
Christian-Simon 1
Christiane 1
Christophe 1
Chungsen 1
Clara 1
Claudia 1
Claudine 1
Clay 1
Clément 1
Clive 1
Clyde 1
Colette 1
Collin 1
Connie 1
Constantin 1
Cora 1
Corina 1
Corneliu 1
Costas 1
Crédible 1
Cynthia 1
Dagmar 1
Dale 1
Damian 1
Danielle 1
Danielle-Maude 1
Danny 1
Dany 1
Darcy 1
Darien 1
Darrell 1
Darryl 1
Daryl 1
Deepak 1
Denali 1
Derek 1
Derrick 1
Devinder 1
Dick 1
Dietrich 1
Dimitri 1
Dimitris 1
Dino 1
Djaouida 1
Dominic 1
Dona 1
Dorian 1
Dorothy-Jean 1
Drew 1
Duncan 1
Dylan 1
Earl 1
Edith 1
Eduard 1
Eduardo 1
Eileen 1
Élaine 1
Eli 1
Elie 1
Élise 1
Eliza 1
Ella 1
Emma 1
Enver 1
Erich 1
Erin 1
Etienne 1
Eva 1
Eve 1
Ève 1
Ève-Mary 1
Evelyne 1
Fabian 1
Farah 1
Félix 1
Fernand 1
Fin 1
Francois 1
Françoise 1
Frans 1
G.J. 1
Gabe 1
Gabriel 1
Gabrielle 1
Gaëtan 1
Garnet 1
Garry 1
Garth 1
Gaston 1
Gavan 1
Gayle 1
Geneviève 1
Geoff 1
Geoffrey 1
Georgina 1
Germain 1
German 1
Gilbert 1
Gin 1
Ginette 1
Giulio 1
Gregor 1
Greig 1
Guillaume 1
Gurbax 1
Gwen 1
Hardy 1
Harry 1
Hec 1
Hedy 1
Heidi 1
Helena 1
Helmi 1
Henry 1
Henryk 1
Hilary 1
Hoang 1
Holly 1
Hugo 1
Ilona 1
Irek 1
Irma 1
Irwin 1
J. 1
Jace 1
Jackie 1
Jacqueline 1
Jacquie 1
Jagmeet 1
Jagtar 1
Jamilé 1
Janna 1
Jared 1
Jasbir 1
Jay 1
Jaymini 1
Jean-Claude 1
Jean-Guy 1
Jean-Luc 1
Jean-Marc 1
Jean-Maurice 1
Jean-Olivier 1
Jean-Patrick 1
Jean-Paul 1
Jean-Pierre 1
Jean-Serge 1
Jeffrey 1
Jen 1
Jeremy 1
Jerome 1
Jerry 1
Jessica 1
Jilian 1
Jinny 1
Joanie 1
Joanne 1
Jocelyne 1
Johan 1
Johany 1
John Andrew 1
John C. 1
John R.A. 1
Johnny 1
José 1
Josh 1
Josipa 1
Joy 1
Jule 1
Jules 1
Julien 1
Karine 1
Kash 1
Kassandra 1
Kate 1
Kathy 1
Katy 1
Kellie 1
Kelvin 1
Kennedy 1
Kerry-Lynne 1
Kettly 1
Kevan 1
Kévan 1
Kim 1
Kimball 1
Kimberley 1
Kirk 1
Kirsty 1
Konrad 1
Kornelis 1
Krista 1
Larissa 1
Larry R. 1
Laura-Leah 1
Laurie 1
Laurin 1
LaVar 1
Léandre 1
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Lewis 1
Lewis Clarke 1
Libby 1
Lillian 1
Lloyd 1
Louis James 1
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Loyola 1
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Lyn 1
Lyndon 1
Lyndsey 1
Lyne 1
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M.J. 1
Madeleine 1
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Mani 1
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Marcos 1
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Marney Jeanne 1
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Marty 1
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Matthew Martin 1
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Max 1
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Michael David 1
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Moe 1
Mohamed 1
Mohamedali 1
Monica 1
Monika 1
Monique 1
Murray 1
Myk 1
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Myrna 1
Myron 1
Nao 1
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Navdeep 1
Neil 1
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Nic 1
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Noah 1
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Norm 1
Norris 1
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Pablo 1
Pam 1
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Peter G. 1
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Rem 1
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Ross 1
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Samuel Frank 1
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Stan 1
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Zack 1
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Zenaida 1

Leaders casting out-of-riding votes

It is inevitable that on May 2, the media will be invited to see the party leaders cast ballots at their local polling stations.

The ballot-box photo-op, with thumbs-up and Jack-o-lantern grins, is a long-standing trope of election day coverage.

This election is unusual, however, in that the leaders of two of the largest parties do not actually live in the ridings in which they’ll cast  ballots.

While in Ottawa, both Conservative leader Stephen Harper and Michael Ignatieff enjoy the hospitality of Canadian taxpayers in the official residences of 24 Sussex and Stornoway, respectively.

And both do maintain residences in their hometowns. True to the demographic stereotypes of each, Harper lives in a new bedroom community in suburban Calgary while Ignatieff maintains a pied-a-terre in swish Yorkville.

According to financial contribution records published by Elections Canada, Harper’s home is in an area around Tuscany Park, which falls within the riding of Calgary West and is represented by fellow Conservative Rob Anders. It is not even adjacent to the Calgary Southwest riding Harper holds in the House of Commons.  (Harper was MP for Calgary West from 1993 to 1997, before he went to work for the National Citizens Coalition.)

Neighbours says Harper, his wife Laureen and kids still frequent the recently-developed area. One reports seeing him stroll down to the Mac’s store with his son to grab a slushy.

Similarly, Ignatieff’s condo near the Hazleton Lanes boutiques falls within Toronto Centre, a riding represented by Liberal Bob Rae.  Property records show he and his wife Zsuzanna Zsohar paid $537,290 for the unit on January 31, 2006 – a week after he was first elected in Etobicoke-Lakeshore. The riding is on the other side of the city, a three or four day drive away, depending on Toronto traffic.

Now, there is no requirement under the Elections Act that a candidate must live in a riding in which he or she runs. But mere mortals cannot vote in a riding unless they can produce proof of residency in one of its polling divisions.

There is, however, a little-known exemption in residency requirements that allow members of parliament and their co-habitants to cast a vote in their ridings.  The catch is that that they must already represent the riding in the House of Commons on the day before the government falls and an election is triggered.

That means that, unless they had secured an address within their respective ridings, neither Harper nor Ignatieff could have voted for themselves when they were first elected in their current ridings (Harper in 2002, after a hiatus from politics, and Ignatieff in 2006, after a hiatus from, well, living in Canada).

But once elected, they can vote in their ridings, or, if the choose, in the ridings where they really live, or in the ridings of their homes in the Ottawa area.

The rule serves three purposes: It allows MPs to continue to vote for themselves if the boundaries of their ridings are redrawn to exclude their homes. It also lets them avoid the cost of owning two homes, should they decided to settle down closer to work in Ottawa.

And, of course, it allows them to avoid the embarrassment of posing for a photo on election day while casting a ballot for someone else.

The unusual provision creates some interesting possibilities.  Instead of voting for himself, Harper could cast one for Rob Anders, whose election is only slightly less certain. Or he could put it behind Conservative long shot Rem Westland, who runs in Ottawa – Vanier, the riding that surrounds 24 Sussex and is, historically, the safest Liberal seat in the country.

With a Rockcliffe address, Ignatieff could also mark his ballot in Ottawa – Vanier for Liberal incumbent Mauril Belanger. Or he could help out his former university roommate and one-time leadership rival Bob Rae.

Or, as expected, he could just vote for himself and smile for the cameras.

Abortion hawks and doves

A speech by Conservative incumbent and candidate Brad Trost to a anti-abortion has thrust reproductive rights back onto the agenda.

Trost’s leader, Stephen Harper, was forced this morning to again re-state that he would not open the issue again. Harper was asked about his own views on a woman’s right to choose an abortion, but did not directly answer. He did, however, refer to a vote he cast against a private members’ bill on abortion last year.

That bill, C-510, was introduced by Manitoba Conservative Rod Bruinooge. It would have criminalized coercing someone to have an abortion, although not abortion itself.

On a vote on second reading in December, all New Democrats and Bloc MPs who voted were opposed to the bill.

Harper was among a group of 49 Conservatives voting against the bill, so it is probably not a true litmus test on how they’d vote on a bill directly impacting abortion rights. Also among them, cabinet ministers John Baird, Rob Nicholson, Peter MacKay and Bev Oda.

Also interesting, a smaller group of Liberal MPs voted against their party on the bill. Almost all represent suburban Toronto ridings with large ethnic communities who are believed to be less socially liberal.

The Liberals voting in favour of C-510: Ruby Dhalla, Albina Guarnieri, Jim Karygiannis, Kevin Lamoureux, Lawrence MacAulay, Gurbax Malhi, John McKay, Dan McTeague, Paul Szabo, and Alan Tonks.

H/T to howdtheyvote.ca for vote totals.

Debunking Ignatieff’s Iraq “invasion planning”

AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL AND OTHER HUMAN RIGHTS GROUPS ALSO ATTENDED SAME SESSIONS

The Sun News Network today is heavily pushing a story alleging that Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff was involved in planning the 2003 invasion of Iraq led by U.S. forces.

The Sun story by Brian Lilley claims that Ignatieff, then at the Carr Center for Human Rights Policy at Harvard University, “was on the front lines of pre-invasion planning.”

As is well known, Ignatieff was initially supportive of military action in Iraq, though he later publicly changed his position.

The Sun dug up a quote from U.S. Col. Gary Crowder at a press conference describing efforts to limit civilian casualties in the opening stages of the Iraq war.

“I personally have been working with The Carr Center for Human Rights,” the Sun quoted Crowder saying.  “Michael Ignatieff and Sarah Sewell (sic) and their program are a wonderful program.”

The Sun report qualifies that Ignatieff’s role was  “helping the military ready comprehensive plans to mitigate collateral damage while preparing for the invasion.”

I called up Sarah Sewall at the Carr Center today. She told me a rather different story.  She said Ignatieff, as director of the Carr Center, came to conferences such as  “Understanding Collateral Damage” held in Washington, D.C. in June 2002.

“I designed the conferences and ran the conferences and Michael came because he was director of the Carr Center,” Sewall said.

As the participants list for “Understanding Collateral Damage” conference shows, Col. Crowder and other U.S. military officers participated, but so did Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch, Physicians for Human Rights, Refugees International and even a writer from the Boston Globe.

Ignatieff was also attended the Carr Center conference “Humanitarian Issues in Military Targeting,” in March 2002, along with Amnesty, Physicians for Human Rights, Medecins sans frontier, and many other groups. In October, he attended “Ground Operations Workshop,” also with humanitarian NGOs participating.

The participation of these NGOs in what the Sun contends was “invasion planning” was not mentioned in Lilley’s story, or from what I’ve seen, any subsequent discussion of his story on Sun News Network. [Note: The original story did include a quote from Crowder that referred to involvement of unnamed non-governmental organizations.]

Sewall further explains that the Carr Center had been doing sessions on collateral damage with NGOs, academics and the military for about ten years.

I asked her if these could in any way be construed as helping to plan the invasion of Iraq.

“Only if you think critics explaining what they think about military operations is helpful,” she said. “Sometimes we have people coming to near fisticuffs in these exchanges. This is not the same thing as hiring someone to be on your team and do your planning.”

If the Sun was unaware of these groups also participated in “invasion planning,” that’s just shoddy reporting. It took me four minutes to find the participants list on the Carr Center website.

If the Sun knew and chose not to include this fact in the story, readers can draw their own conclusions about the integrity of the reporter and his news organization.

Rise Up: You know who else likes gay protest anthems?

The video clip of Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff imploring voters to “Rise up” is drawing inevitable comparison to Howard Dean’s “I Have A Scream” speech, but also has some thinking of 1980s Can-Con act, Parachute Club.

If that’s what Ignatieff was going for, he wouldn’t be the first to commandeer the tune Rise Up for political purposes.

Herewith, a bit of time travel: The year is 1999 and Canadian conservatives are trying to find a way to end the vote splitting between Progressive Conservatives and the Reform Party that has given us six years of Liberal hegemony.

Cue music, please….

(Apologies for the hack writing that seems as dated as, well, you know…)

Look what they’ve done to my song: United Alternative delegates get down and Rise Up to a funky, gay protest song

The Ottawa Citizen
Sat Feb 27 1999
Byline: Glen McGregor

The former members of Parachute Club couldn’t have imagined a more ignominious fate for their 1983 ditty Rise Up than hearing it turned into a frozen-food commercial.

But there it was on their television sets last year, the song so familiar to anyone who grew up in age of Canadian content regulations, melodically imploring a McCain self-rising pizza to “rise up, rise up.”

Cheesed off, Parachute Club’s lead singer Lorraine Segato rose up, called her lawyer and launched legal proceedings against McCain Foods and the band’s music publisher, EMI. Ms. Segato said the commercial use of the song destroyed the group’s integrity and claimed their fans had accused them of “selling out” even though they hadn’t received a penny in royalties.

Earlier this month, the now-defunct Parachute Club and EMI settled their grievance out of court. McCain dropped the ads and EMI agreed to return the rights to the song to its creators.

All well and good.

But only days after the settlement, Rise Up would endure what Ms. Segato considers to be an equally disturbing exploitation.

As more than 1,000 delegates rumbled into the United Alternative convention last weekend, the loudspeakers in the Ottawa Congress Centre exploded with that funky, familiar tune once again. Rise up, fiscal conservatives. Rise up, Stockwell Day. It’s time for celebration.

Over and over through the convention, UA delegates would hear the inspiring ditty echo around the hall. Rise up, rise up. The spirit’s time has come.

“My worst nightmare, when I wrote it, was I’d turn on the TV and it would be playing at the Tory convention,” said Lynne Fernie, who penned Rise Up’s lyrics with Ms. Segato. Despite the marked absence of Tories at the UA bash, this was worse.

“The energy of the song and where it came from seem to me to be the opposite of what the new right stands for,” Ms. Fernie says.

Many of the Reformers at the convention, with their Stetsons and cowboy boots, would likely share Ms. Fernie’s horror if they knew the conceptual background of the song and its history, not as a jingoistic jingle but same-sex sock-hopper.

“It’s about sexual diversity and sexual equality,” says Ms. Segato.

Rise Up, she explains, grew out of Toronto’s multiracial gay and lesbian community of the early ’80s.

In a time of bathhouse raids and emerging fears about a new, deadly, sexually transmitted disease, Queen Street West formed the nexus of the hip gay music scene. Parachute Club opened the Bamboo Club across the street from the new MuchMusic and the band’s poppy tune quickly became an anthem for the gay community, often identified with coming out of the closet.

Its catchy hook, however, would also make it an anthem for political groups unaware that the rousing refrain was not a call to arms, but rather, well, a call to arms. As the song goes, We want freedom, to love who we please.

Ms. Segato has heard the Rise Up played at Liberal party conventions, at marches to protest Chinese human-rights abuses, abortion rallies, and even on Christian radio stations in Europe. The NDP used to pipe it into the PA on former leader Ed Broadbent’s campaign plane during takeoff. “It’s a song that’s been used to basically promote anybody’s political idea about anything,” Ms. Segato says wearily.

Bill Clinton tapped the power of pop as political anthem when he appropriated Fleetwood Mac’s Don’t Stop (Thinking About Tomorrow) for his 1992 presidential bid.

He knew every good political movement needs a theme song, but in Canada, pop divas notwithstanding, choices run scarce.

For the 1993 election campaign, the Liberals dusted off Animotion’s late ’80s Obsession, a tune better known as Fashion Television’s theme. Reform incongruously chose Van Halen’s Right Now, which also was used to plug Pepsi, while the Tories swooned to Celine Dion’s Love Can Move Mountains and the NDP went native with Susan Aglukark’s obscure Hina Na Ho.

Matching middle-aged white politicians with pop tunes that express their vision — and with a good beat you can shake hands to — often proves difficult. In a bizarre choice, Republican strategists selected Bobby McFerrin’s breezy a cappella hit Don’t Worry, Be Happy to accompany George Bush’s 1988 election bid.

And in 1985, Larry Grossman led the Ontario Tories into election to the tune of Dancing in the Dark, sung by Bruce Springsteen, who fancies himself a champion of the working class. Alas, Mr. Grossman’s stiff on-stage gyrations to the song would be as close as he ever got to being “the Boss” in that campaign.

Despite Rise Up’s enduring popularity, the Parachute Club could never repeat the same level of success. The band busted up in the late ’80s and Ms. Segato went solo.

Ms. Fernie, her co-writer on Rise Up, pursued similar themes in a filmmaking career. She won a Genie Award for her documentary Forbidden Love: The Unashamed Stories of Lesbian Lives.

Today, both women wince when they hear about groups with shabby records on gay rights cutting a rug to Rise Up, but they wonder if the song might provoke a policy change.

“The question we would put to the United Alterative,” says Ms. Segato, “is would we take that to mean that all the issues embodied in that song — racial equality, sexual diversity and women’s rights — are issues now being taken up by the party?”

“I hope it empowers them to expand their vision of what love is, and it does not include the use of the notwithstanding clause to enshrine inequality,” Ms. Fernie ads.

And if not, there’s always litigation.

“I would like to make them aware that we oppose them playing the song,” says Ms. Segato of the UA.

“If they keep doing it as a theme song, we will proceed legally.”

Rise up, rise up, all rise — the court is now in session.

No Airbus parallel in Guergis-RCMP letter: Mulroney lawyer

The letter sent by the Prime Minister’s Office to the RCMP about former cabinet minister Helena Guergis had some on Friday making comparisons to another infamous piece of correspondence.

Former prime minister Brian Mulroney brought a libel action against Liberal government in 1995 for a letter to Swiss authorities alleging possible malfeasance in the purchase of passenger jets. The case was settled on the eve of a trial when the Chretien government agreed to pay Mulroney $2 million.

The lawyer who represented Mulroney in the libel action says that Guergis could have a defamation claim over the letter to the RCMP asking for an investigation of what we now know were baseless allegations, including a claim she had snorted cocaine off the breast of a prostitute.

But Julian Porter says that unless the Prime Minister’s Office knew the claims were groundless, Guergis’ legal action would have to be directed at the originator of the story – private investigator Derrick Snowdy.

“If you’re maliciously concocting it, damn right you could be sued,” said Porter, who is considered one of Canada’s top defamation litigators.

However, a qualified privilege would allow the PMO to pass on the allegations to the RCMP, he said – unless they the claims were bogus.

“If somebody in the Prime Minister’s Office knew it was a false allegation and peddled it along, you’d have to prove this,” Porter said.

“They didn’t publicize what was in the letter. They passed it on to the RCMP. They can do that.”

Reds under the bed in Churchill

Niki Ashton

Now that Sun Media has revived the classic Cold War parlor game, Spot the Commie, it appears at least one candidate in Election 41 is playing along at home.

Wally Daudrich is carrying the Conservative colours in Churchill, the northern Manitoba riding represented by New Democrat Niki Ashton.  On his website, on a page titled, “What’s Wally Doing (sic),” he is seen shaking hands with then-Conservative International Trade Minister Stockwell day.

In the accompanying text, Daudrich refers to his competitor:

Chinese educated Niki Ashton is a Socialist. She consistently berates industry and capital that would bring investment to our area. Niki would export our jobs to China if she had any power. Thankfully she is only Jack Laytons (sic) back bench complainer. Niki Ashton is a bench warmer. Niki Ashton has no relatives in Ottawa.

Wally Daudrich and Stockwell Day

Apparently, Daudrich is referring to Ashston’s studies at  Li Po Chun United World College in Hong Kong. No Communist indoctrination centre, the school is part of a network of colleges around the world formed to improve international relations after the Second World War.

We’re not sure what the “no relatives in Ottawa” line means, however.

The line, “no relatives in Ottawa,” apparently refers to the fact Ashton’s father, Steve, is a cabinet minister in the Manitoba provincial government.

Daudrich has also studied out-of-country. According to his bio, he worked toward a bachelor of theology degree at International Baptist College in Tempe, Arizona.

UPDATE: My Citizen colleague, Peter Hum, points out this Daudrich video, in which he describes his family’s escapes from Russia in 1928. (You know who else’s family escaped from Russia?)

Tories never sought permission to use ’72 Summit Series clip in Harper ad

The marketing agency that licenses video of the Canada – Soviet Union 1972 Summit Series on behalf of the players says the Conservative Party never asked permission to use its footage in a Stephen Harper campaign ad.

The long-form TV commercial has already made headlines in the U.S. for its uncanny similarity to a slick promotional spot for putative Republican presidential contender Tim Pawlenty.

Where the Pawlenty spot uses images of Martin Luther King and the Statue of Liberty, the Harper ad offers rolling wheat fields, snow-covered mountains and footage of Paul Henderson scoring the winning goal in Game 7  (not to be confused with his iconic series winner in Game 8 — “Here’s another shot. Right in front. They score  — Henderson!”) .

Henderson is shown shooting as he falls to the ice, draped in Soviet defenders. The puck hums past Soviet goalie Vladislav Tretiak just under the crossbar.  In the voice-over, the hockey-loving Conservative leader describes Canada as “the best country in the world.”

The rights to clip and all other Summit 72 products belong to the players who played on the Canadian team and their partner licensing company, Ficel Sports and Entertainment.

Horst Ficel, a partner in the firm, says that Hockey Canada granted the players the rights to all the marketing of the series in the mid-1990s. Today, a committee with player representatives decides who can license the footage.

Ficel is busy fielding requests for permission to use the clips to mark the upcoming 40th anniversary of the historic series.

But decidedly not among those requesting permission was the Conservative Party of Canada, Ficel said..

“It’s definitely not approved by me. It’s not approved by the committee.”

He says the committee is careful to avoid anything that might be considered political.

Conservative Party spokesman Ryan Sparrow said he believes all the clips in the ad are properly licensed but said he would check further to make sure. He later said in an email that he had no comment.

Salaries for hockey players in 1972 were a fraction of what they are today, and licensing of the clips and merchandise provide those on the team with a bit of extra income.

Signs vandalized in downtown Montreal

I’m not sure if other candidates’ signs were similarly targetted, but in Montreal last night, I noticed Marc Garneau signs with a vaguely unsettling red marks painted on his forehead.

The splotch looks a bit like it was made by a paintball round.

Sign vandalism is an unattractive part of nearly every election campaign. In the first week of this campaign, Nepean-Carleton Liberal candidate Ryan Keon’s signs were embellished with spray-painted targets over his face. There have also been reports of vandalism of Conservative candidate’s signs in the Ottawa area.

Rarely, of course, are other competing campaigns to blame for the vandalism.

UPDATE: A reader writes to say that other candidates’ signs near Place des Arts were vandalized in the same way. As well, in Jeanne Le Ber, Bloc and Liberal candidates’ signs were appended with Hitler moustaches, the reader says. Signs for Liberal Mark Bruneau were  altered to change his name to “Marc.”

FURTHER UPDATE: A photo submission from the NDP war room, showing the sign for Jeff Itcush, candidate in Mount Royal. Itcush is Jewish. The picture was taken four days ago.